Today's starting pitching matchup features Baltimore Orioles's Brandon Young (3-1, 4.15 ERA) against Washington Nationals's Miles Mikolas (1-3, 7.00 ERA).

Baltimore Orioles's Brandon Young posts an league-average 4.15 ERA this season, while Miles Mikolas has been struggling at 7.00. There is a clear gap in starting pitching quality.

Advanced metrics: Brandon Young — FIP 4.91, K% 16.5%, 26.0 IP / Miles Mikolas — FIP 6.10, K% 14.8%, 36.0 IP

2026 season record: Baltimore Orioles 20-26 (.435), Washington Nationals 23-23 (.500).

Washington Nationals holds the edge in the season standings, though Baltimore Orioles can't be counted out based on head-to-head matchups.

Recent form: Baltimore Orioles on a 2-game losing streak, Washington Nationals on a 2-game win streak.

Based on starting pitching, Baltimore Orioles holds the edge.

Baltimore Orioles bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Andrew Kittredge 11.05 ERA, 7K in 7.1IP, Anthony Nunez (Setup) 4.05 ERA, 22K in 20.0IP, Brandon Young 4.15 ERA, 19K in 26.0IP.

Washington Nationals bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Andrew Alvarez 2.45 ERA, 10K in 7.1IP, Brad Lord 3.21 ERA, 21K in 28.0IP, Cade Cavalli 4.05 ERA, 52K in 46.2IP.

Projected win probability: Baltimore Orioles 63% vs Washington Nationals 37%

Factors: Baltimore Orioles's starter owns the lower ERA, Washington Nationals's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.

Workload comparison: Brandon Young averages 5.2 IP per start vs. Miles Mikolas at 6.0 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.