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| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| ATL | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | 6 | 9 | 1 |
Miami Marlins
26.7%
Atlanta Braves
73.3%
Miami Marlins Away Starter
W-L
1-0
Season IP
19.2
Season K
20
ERA
4.12
Season Record
No lineup information available.
No pitching records available.
No pitching records available.
braves edged out a 6-5 victory. A nail-biting 1-run game.
StatScope Model v2.2— Pythagorean expectation, starter quality, recent form, home advantage
Moneyline
Miami Marlins
+275
Underdog
Atlanta Braves
-275
Favorite
Over / Under
10
Total Runs Line
4.5 + 5.3 = 9.8
Expected: Miami Marlins + Atlanta Braves
Run Line (-1.5)
Atlanta Braves -1.5
Expected margin: +0.8 runs
Projected odds based on team stats, pitching matchup, and park factor. Not affiliated with any sportsbook.
Atlanta Braves Home Starter
W-L
1-0
Season IP
20.2
Season K
19
ERA
2.18
Season Record
No lineup information available.
Atlanta Braves squeaked out a narrow win over Miami Marlins, 6-5. Tension ran high from start to finish in this one-run thriller.
The turning point came in the top of the 2nd. Miami Marlins pushed across 3 runs to seize control of the game.
2026 season
Avg wOBA
0.274
Avg OPS
0.606
Pitching FIP
4.01
Pitching K%
27.68%
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Calvin Faucher 3.27
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Calvin Faucher 35.7%, Andrew Nardi 30.8%
Avg wOBA
0.343
Avg OPS
0.783
Pitching FIP
3.74
Pitching K%
24.18%
▸wOBA .350+: 3 players — elite offense
▸FIP 3.50 or below: Dylan Lee 1.48, Bryce Elder 2.71
▸Strikeout (K% 25%+): Dylan Lee 26.7%, Bryce Elder 25.3%