New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Preview
Today's Starting Matchup
Today's starting pitching matchup features New York Mets's Christian Scott (0-0, 4.12 ERA) against Miami Marlins's Tyler Phillips (0-0, 1.20 ERA).
Miami Marlins's Tyler Phillips posts an elite 1.20 ERA this season, while Christian Scott has been league-average at 4.12. There is a clear gap in starting pitching quality.
Advanced metrics: Christian Scott — FIP 3.66, K% 27.8%, 19.7 IP / Tyler Phillips — FIP 3.43, K% 21.1%, 30.0 IP
Team Season Comparison
2026 season record: New York Mets 22-30 (.423), Miami Marlins 24-29 (.453).
Recent form: New York Mets on a 2-game losing streak, Miami Marlins on a 2-game win streak.
Based on starting pitching, Miami Marlins holds the edge.
Bullpen Analysis
New York Mets bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Austin Warren 1.72 ERA, 16K in 15.2IP, Brooks Raley (Setup) 1.40 ERA, 23K in 19.1IP, Christian Scott 4.12 ERA, 25K in 19.2IP.
Miami Marlins bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Andrew Nardi (Setup) 5.23 ERA, 24K in 20.2IP, Anthony Bender 3.54 ERA, 23K in 20.1IP.
Win Probability
Projected win probability: New York Mets 39% vs Miami Marlins 61%
Factors: Miami Marlins's starter owns the lower ERA, Miami Marlins's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.
Key Tactical Points
Workload comparison: Christian Scott averages 3.9 IP per start vs. Tyler Phillips at - IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.