St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Mets Preview
Today's Starting Matchup
Today's starting pitching matchup features St. Louis Cardinals's Dustin May (3-6, 4.59 ERA) against New York Mets's Freddy Peralta (4-4, 3.63 ERA).
Both starters carry similar ERAs, setting the stage for a potential pitchers' duel. WHIP: Dustin May 1.29, Freddy Peralta 1.32.
Advanced metrics: Dustin May — FIP 3.35, K% 21.5%, 66.7 IP / Freddy Peralta — FIP 4.00, K% 23.9%, 72.0 IP
Team Season Comparison
2026 season record: St. Louis Cardinals 35-28 (.556), New York Mets 29-36 (.446).
St. Louis Cardinals holds the edge in the season standings, though New York Mets can't be counted out based on head-to-head matchups.
Recent form: St. Louis Cardinals on a 4-game win streak, New York Mets on a 1-game win streak.
Based on starting pitching, New York Mets holds the edge.
Bullpen Analysis
St. Louis Cardinals bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: Andre Pallante 3.96 ERA, 51K in 63.2IP, Dustin May 4.59 ERA, 60K in 66.2IP, George Soriano (Setup) 3.08 ERA, 23K in 26.1IP.
New York Mets bullpen: 13 relievers on the active roster. Key arms: A.J. Minter 0.00 ERA, 6K in 5.1IP, Austin Warren 2.01 ERA, 23K in 22.1IP, Brooks Raley (Setup) 1.48 ERA, 29K in 24.1IP.
Win Probability
Projected win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 44% vs New York Mets 56%
Factors: New York Mets's starter owns the lower ERA, New York Mets's home-field advantage. Of course, baseball's inherent randomness means actual results may differ.
Key Tactical Points
Workload comparison: Dustin May averages 5.6 IP per start vs. Freddy Peralta at 5.5 IP. Getting six-plus innings from the starter significantly eases the bullpen burden.